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***FLASH TRAFFIC*** ***FLASH TRAFFIC*** ***FLASH TRAFFIC*** Date: Oct. 30th, 2019 FROM: SUPREME ALLIED COMMANDER EUROPE TO: ALL COMBATANT COMMANDS IN THE CHERNARUS AREA OF OPERATIONS Intelligence has determined with a high level of confidence that Russian forces are planning an airborne operation, Codename “Smolensk”, within the coming days. The operation will be aimed against the Chernarussian Defense Force in an attempt to break the morale of the Republic of Chernarus and force them into accepting the secession of the DPRC. It is believed that the Russians intend to avoid engaging US forces and present a fait accompli to all forces involved. Elements of the 6th Guards Airborne Division are likely to be used, as the division has begun assembling at two airfields in Russia, with the suspected lead assault element, the 105th Guards Airborne Regiment, starting to assemble in the Krasnostav Airfield in Chernarus. Also of note, several An-12 “Cub” transport aircraft have seen moving to Krasnostav with modifications to the airframes that make the aircraft appear as NATO C-130 aircraft. It is believed these planes will serve as the spearhead to create disarray behind the frontlines and enable the rest of the airborne forces to seize objectives. CIA and DIA analysts have reached the conclusion that the Russian are pursuing this course of action in an effort to turn the tide of the conflict without risking an escalation with the US. Several sources within Russia have noticed the formation of several factions within the Russian government, namely divided along the lines of those who wish to escalate the conflict, and those who wish to draw down their forces. The latter currently appear to hold more sway, but the former have convinced Russian leadership to attempt this operation. A map of Operation Smolensk has been intercepted by SIGINT and is displayed below, translated by NSA and DIA. Execute an appropriate defensive deployment and begin immediate preparatory actions pursuant the tasks assigned in DODP 1945. Inform subordinate commands at once. A similar warning is being sent by the Department of Defense. Commander USAREUR inform the Chernarussians. All US bases in Europe are directed to take appropriate measures against sabotage. Copy to Dept. of Defense ***FLASH TRAFFIC*** ***FLASH TRAFFIC*** ***FLASH TRAFFIC***